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Moving from Fuzzy to Feasible™: Phase 2 – Experimentation

  • Writer: Matt Arnold
    Matt Arnold
  • May 2
  • 3 min read
Fuzzy to Feasible: Experimentation
Fuzzy to Feasible: Experimentation

This is the second in a series of five posts that explore each phase of the Fuzzy to Feasible™ framework. After Sensemaking builds shared understanding and provides preliminary wayfinding, the next critical function is Experimentation — moving forward with coordinated action while staying flexible and open to learning.


The Fuzzy to Feasible™ framework is a practical approach to helping teams navigate uncertainty by acting with intention, testing small moves, and progressively building clarity. In a world where complexity and change are constants, our goal is to move from fear and ambiguity to smarter, faster action — starting small, learning quickly, and scaling wisely.


What is Experimentation?

Experimentation is about trying small ideas in low-risk ways to learn what works — and what doesn't. It’s less about being right the first time and more about building smarter solutions through real feedback. Drawing from UX, product design, and innovation strategy, Experimentation turns curiosity into insight — and insight into better outcomes.

The goal isn’t to launch — it’s to learn.


We begin by confirming what’s desirable to stakeholders (customers, users, partners) through small, fast experiments.Whether through mock-ups, simulations, conversations, or live pilots, experimentation keeps teams adaptive, focused, and aligned as they move toward feasibility and value.


Rapid exploration and low-risk learning beat over-investing too early every time.

As ideas mature, experiments should evolve in rigor. We don't hold early-stage desirability tests to the same standards as late-stage viability assessments. Early on, it’s about insights over perfection — learning inexpensively before committing heavily.


Why Experimentation Matters

When facing complex challenges, no clear "best practice" exists — only emerging practices. Frameworks like Cynefin remind us that in complexity, we must probe, sense, and respond — not assume we can predict the outcome in advance.


Experimentation helps teams:

  • Test the smallest critical assumptions first

  • Get real data to inform decisions (instead of debating opinions)

  • Confirm desirability before worrying about feasibility or viability

  • Avoid costly over-commitments to unproven ideas

Skipping this phase risks solving the wrong problems, building solutions for non-existent markets, and wasting resources.


Common Misconceptions About Experimentation

Many teams misunderstand or misuse Experimentation. Some common traps include:

  • "Failure is bad." In reality, a failed experiment is valuable — it reveals insights you wouldn’t have gained otherwise.

  • "We have to test everything before acting." Experimentation should reduce risk where uncertainty is high — not slow every decision down.

  • "Experiments have to be huge and perfect."Small, fast experiments are often the most powerful. Speed to insight matters more than exhaustive studies.

  • "The data will make the decision for us."Data informs judgment — it doesn’t replace it. Data-informed, over data-driven. Strategic context and human insight still matter.

  • "If we experiment, we’ll automatically innovate." Experiments must be anchored to meaningful questions. Random testing wastes time.

  • "Success means finding the one right answer." Often, Experimentation reveals multiple viable paths. It's about navigating options, not eliminating uncertainty.

  • "Experiments are only for new products." Experimentation applies across the full product and customer experience lifecycle.


Experimentation and the Human Side of Innovation

Experimentation isn't just about process — it’s about people.

A culture of thoughtful experimentation:

  • Reduces ego-driven debates by focusing teams on shared learning and not holding early solutions and designs as precious

  • Encourages early discarding of weak ideas — when it’s easy and cheap to pivot

  • Builds psychological safety, making it safer to test and challenge ideas

  • Organizes work around real customer and stakeholder insights, not internal assumptions


By making experimentation a norm, teams reduce the risk of escalating commitment to bad decisions — and maintain their ability to adapt as new realities emerge.


A First Step: A Reflection

If you want to strengthen your team’s approach to Experimentation, start by asking:

"What are the biggest assumptions we’re making right now — and what is the smallest experiment we could run to test them?"


Focus first on the smallest critical assumptions. Learn fast and cheap early — save rigor and investment for when your insights are strong enough to justify it. Not every idea deserves to scale.



Experimentation and insights help you discover which ones truly should.


If you’d like help building stronger experimentation habits — or designing smarter ways to navigate complexity — let's connect.Moving from Fuzzy to Feasible™ isn’t about finding guarantees. It’s about building momentum through learning.

 
 
 

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